| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2004 | 24–34 | Broncos +10 | Broncos +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 12, 2004 | 17–31 | Eagles +14 | Eagles +11.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 12, 2004 | 21–19 | Falcons +2 | 49ers +5.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 12, 2004 | 17–35 | Vikings +18 | Vikings +3.8 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 12, 2004 | 3–20 | Browns +17 | Ravens +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 12, 2004 | 24–31 | Jets +7 | Jets +5.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 12, 2004 | 21–7 | Seahawks +14 | Saints +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 12, 2004 | 10–16 | Commanders +6 | Buccaneers +2.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 12, 2004 | 20–16 | Lions +4 | Bears +5.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 12, 2004 | 27–20 | Chargers +7 | Texans +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 12, 2004 | 10–17 | Rams +7 | Rams +12.0 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 12, 2004 | 13–10 | Jaguars +3 | Bills +3.8 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 12, 2004 | 21–24 | Steelers +3 | Steelers +3.5 | Regular Season |