| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2004 | 17–16 | Steelers +1 | Steelers +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 7–31 | Commanders +24 | Commanders +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 17–47 | Eagles +30 | Eagles +6.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 17–20 | Chargers +3 | Chargers +2.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 34–27 | Chiefs +7 | Chiefs +1.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 12–26 | Lions +14 | Lions +4.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 42–32 | Bills +10 | Dolphins +1.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 32–21 | Panthers +11 | Panthers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 14–24 | Bears +10 | Vikings +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 7–29 | Jets +22 | Jets +8.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 0–27 | Buccaneers +27 | Buccaneers +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 27–26 | Bengals +1 | Ravens +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 42–15 | Patriots +27 | Patriots +8.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 24–51 | Colts +27 | Colts +8.9 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 5, 2004 | 6–16 | Rams +10 | Rams +9.0 | Regular Season |