| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2009 | 31–9 | Colts +22 | Colts +3.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 11, 2009 | 17–20 | Broncos +3 | Patriots +2.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 11, 2009 | 0–41 | Seahawks +41 | Jaguars +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 11, 2009 | 21–28 | Cardinals +7 | Cardinals +3.6 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 11, 2009 | 45–10 | Falcons +35 | 49ers +1.9 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 11, 2009 | 17–20 | Panthers +3 | Panthers +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 11, 2009 | 17–14 | Bengals +3 | Ravens +9.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 11, 2009 | 28–20 | Steelers +8 | Steelers +8.2 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 11, 2009 | 7–44 | Giants +37 | Giants +14.2 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 11, 2009 | 14–33 | Eagles +19 | Eagles +10.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 11, 2009 | 6–3 | Browns +3 | Bills +5.5 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 11, 2009 | 26–20 | Cowboys +6 | Cowboys +6.6 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 11, 2009 | 38–10 | Vikings +28 | Vikings +7.9 | Regular Season |