| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2009 | 20–16 | Cowboys +4 | Eagles +3.9 | Regular Season | |
| Nov 8, 2009 | 21–20 | Chargers +1 | Giants +3.6 | Regular Season | |
| Nov 8, 2009 | 34–27 | Titans +7 | Titans +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Nov 8, 2009 | 20–32 | Seahawks +12 | Seahawks +8.9 | Regular Season | |
| Nov 8, 2009 | 20–30 | Saints +10 | Saints +9.0 | Regular Season | |
| Nov 8, 2009 | 41–21 | Cardinals +20 | Bears +2.2 | Regular Season | |
| Nov 8, 2009 | 17–31 | Falcons +14 | Falcons +7.9 | Regular Season | |
| Nov 8, 2009 | 28–38 | Buccaneers +10 | Packers +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Nov 8, 2009 | 21–24 | Jaguars +3 | Jaguars +8.2 | Regular Season | |
| Nov 8, 2009 | 7–17 | Bengals +10 | Ravens +2.4 | Regular Season | |
| Nov 8, 2009 | 17–20 | Colts +3 | Colts +10.1 | Regular Season | |
| Nov 8, 2009 | 17–27 | Patriots +10 | Patriots +9.9 | Regular Season |