| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2011 | 23–20 | Steelers +3 | Steelers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 13–16 | Buccaneers +3 | Falcons +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 10–13 | Seahawks +3 | Seahawks +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 27–17 | Packers +10 | Packers +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 37–7 | Ravens +30 | Ravens +7.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 17–20 | Chargers +3 | Chargers +9.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 24–34 | Raiders +10 | Jets +3.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 26–23 | Lions +3 | Vikings +2.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 31–34 | Bills +3 | Patriots +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 29–16 | Giants +13 | Eagles +4.0 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 10–16 | Panthers +6 | Jaguars +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 13–8 | 49ers +5 | Bengals +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 16–17 | Browns +1 | Browns +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 14–17 | Titans +3 | Titans +8.0 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 25, 2011 | 33–40 | Saints +7 | Saints +5.6 | Regular Season |