| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2011 | 17–34 | Ravens +17 | Ravens +3.9 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 23–49 | Packers +26 | Packers +16.6 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 31–19 | Patriots +12 | Patriots +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 16–26 | Chargers +10 | Chargers +8.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 31–27 | Giants +4 | Giants +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 30–28 | Falcons +2 | Falcons +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 29–34 | Bears +5 | Bears +9.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 20–23 | Bengals +3 | Bengals +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 31–13 | Titans +18 | Titans +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 10–17 | Texans +7 | Steelers +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 23–10 | Saints +13 | Saints +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 24–23 | 49ers +1 | Eagles +5.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 34–30 | Lions +4 | Cowboys +5.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 17–22 | Chiefs +5 | Chiefs +1.8 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 2, 2011 | 17–10 | Commanders +7 | Commanders +1.9 | Regular Season |