| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2011 | 7–62 | Saints +55 | Saints +8.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 23, 2011 | 28–0 | Chiefs +28 | Raiders +6.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 23, 2011 | 7–34 | Cowboys +27 | Cowboys +10.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 23, 2011 | 33–27 | Packers +6 | Packers +6.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 23, 2011 | 32–20 | Steelers +12 | Steelers +7.2 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 23, 2011 | 23–16 | Falcons +7 | Falcons +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 23, 2011 | 20–33 | Panthers +13 | Commanders +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 23, 2011 | 18–24 | Bears +6 | Bears +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 23, 2011 | 3–6 | Browns +3 | Browns +2.5 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 23, 2011 | 21–27 | Jets +6 | Jets +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 23, 2011 | 18–15 | Broncos +3 | Dolphins +5.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 23, 2011 | 41–7 | Texans +34 | Titans +3.0 | Regular Season |