| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2011 | 17–31 | Saints +14 | Saints +8.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 13–19 | Cardinals +6 | Cowboys +3.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 38–35 | Packers +3 | Packers +6.9 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 0–26 | 49ers +26 | 49ers +13.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 24–10 | Ravens +14 | Ravens +7.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 35–32 | Broncos +3 | Vikings +2.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 10–17 | Texans +7 | Texans +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 10–3 | Chiefs +7 | Bears +10.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 14–34 | Dolphins +20 | Dolphins +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 34–19 | Jets +15 | Jets +4.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 23–17 | Titans +6 | Titans +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 38–19 | Panthers +19 | Buccaneers +5.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 7–35 | Steelers +28 | Steelers +8.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 24–31 | Patriots +7 | Patriots +16.5 | Regular Season |