| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 2011 | 19–17 | 49ers +2 | 49ers +2.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2011 | 20–7 | Eagles +13 | Cowboys +2.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2011 | 10–38 | Lions +28 | Chargers +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2011 | 33–26 | Vikings +7 | Commanders +4.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2011 | 16–48 | Panthers +32 | Panthers +5.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2011 | 14–20 | Ravens +6 | Ravens +13.8 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2011 | 16–13 | Raiders +3 | Chiefs +2.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2011 | 29–14 | Giants +15 | Jets +6.5 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2011 | 16–23 | Bengals +7 | Bengals +5.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2011 | 14–40 | Bills +26 | Broncos +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2011 | 17–23 | Titans +6 | Titans +5.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2011 | 0–27 | Steelers +27 | Steelers +16.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2011 | 24–27 | Patriots +3 | Patriots +13.3 | Regular Season |