| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2021 | 20–14 | Commanders +6 | Eagles +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 7–18 | Rams +11 | Rams +7.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 33–7 | Saints +26 | Saints +7.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 35–16 | Packers +19 | Packers +2.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 32–31 | Raiders +1 | Broncos +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 41–38 | Titans +3 | Titans +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 14–28 | Colts +14 | Colts +15.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 38–21 | Chargers +17 | Chiefs +16.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 26–23 | Seahawks +3 | Seahawks +2.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 27–44 | Buccaneers +17 | Buccaneers +7.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 38–3 | Ravens +35 | Ravens +6.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 26–56 | Bills +30 | Bills +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 22–24 | Browns +2 | Steelers +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 19–23 | Giants +4 | Cowboys +1.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 37–35 | Vikings +2 | Vikings +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 3, 2021 | 14–28 | Patriots +14 | Patriots +10.6 | Regular Season |