| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2022 | 20–12 | Giants +8 | Commanders +6.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 34–23 | Bengals +11 | Buccaneers +1.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 14–17 | Chargers +3 | Chargers +1.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 15–24 | Broncos +9 | Cardinals +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 24–30 | Raiders +6 | Patriots +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 18–21 | Saints +3 | Saints +5.6 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 24–16 | Steelers +8 | Panthers +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 25–20 | Eagles +5 | Eagles +7.3 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 34–40 | Jaguars +6 | Cowboys +7.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 20–17 | Lions +3 | Jets +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 30–24 | Chiefs +6 | Chiefs +12.5 | Regular Season |