@ Maple Leafs
5-3
@ Golden Knights
3-5
Playoffs
0-0
VS EXPECTED
Maple Leafs +0.0
Avg Goals
3.4-3.4
Most Recent Winner
Golden Knights 3-6
Head-To-Head Margin (Max Last 150 Matches)
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2026 | 6–3 | Vegas Golden Knights +3 | Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 | Regular | |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 5–6 | Vegas Golden Knights +1 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.2 | Regular | |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 2–5 | Vegas Golden Knights +3 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.3 | Regular | |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 0–3 | Toronto Maple Leafs +3 | Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5 | Regular | |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 6–2 | Vegas Golden Knights +4 | Toronto Maple Leafs +0.6 | Regular | |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 7–3 | Toronto Maple Leafs +4 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.5 | Regular | |
| Nov 8, 2022 | 4–3 | Vegas Golden Knights +1 | Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5 | Regular | |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1–3 | Vegas Golden Knights +2 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.1 | Regular | |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 4–3 | Toronto Maple Leafs +1 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.6 | Regular | |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 0–4 | Toronto Maple Leafs +4 | Toronto Maple Leafs +0.1 | Regular | |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2–4 | Vegas Golden Knights +2 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.5 | Regular | |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1–2 | Toronto Maple Leafs +1 | Toronto Maple Leafs +0.4 | Regular | |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 6–3 | Toronto Maple Leafs +3 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.3 | Regular | |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1–3 | Toronto Maple Leafs +2 | Toronto Maple Leafs +0.5 | Regular | |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 3–6 | Vegas Golden Knights +3 | Vegas Golden Knights +0.8 | Regular | |
| Nov 6, 2017 | 3–4 | Toronto Maple Leafs +1 | Toronto Maple Leafs +0.2 | Regular |