Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Avalanche 3
Thursday, March 24, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Avalanche

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
33-41 Rating 1461
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Colorado Avalanche +0.2
Avalanche
28-44 Rating 1442
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Avalanche
All-time wins 24 35
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.2 3.8
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Avalanche
Games played 74 72
Avg goals scored 2.6 2.8
Avg goals conceded 3.0 3.5
Win percentage 45% 39%
Away win % / Home win % 44% 42%