Final Score: Lightning 3 - Penguins 4
Monday, March 4, 2013 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Penguins

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
9-12 Rating 1481
Form: WLLLL
Model Probability
36%
64%
Projected margin: Pittsburgh Penguins +1.2
Penguins
14-8 Rating 1556
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Penguins
All-time wins 36 41
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 2.8 3.0
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Penguins
Games played 21 22
Avg goals scored 3.5 3.5
Avg goals conceded 3.2 2.9
Win percentage 43% 64%
Away win % / Home win % 30% 56%