Final Score: Maple Leafs 3 - Lightning 4
Thursday, May 12, 2022 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 61 | 46 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 87 | 87 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Win percentage | 66% | 61% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 65% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
May 10, 2022 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
May 8, 2022 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
May 6, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
May 4, 2022 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
May 2, 2022 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Boston Bruins
Apr 29, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Apr 26, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Washington Capitals
Apr 24, 2022 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 23, 2022 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 21, 2022 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
Lightning
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
May 10, 2022 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
May 8, 2022 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
May 6, 2022 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
May 4, 2022 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
May 2, 2022 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
@ New York Islanders
Apr 29, 2022 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Apr 28, 2022 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Apr 26, 2022 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 24, 2022 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Nashville Predators
Apr 23, 2022 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2