Final Score: Maple Leafs 5 - Lightning 4
Monday, April 24, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 65 | 50 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 85 | 85 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| Win percentage | 61% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 67% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 22, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 20, 2023 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 18, 2023 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ New York Rangers
Apr 13, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 11, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Florida Panthers
Apr 10, 2023 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Montreal Canadiens
Apr 8, 2023 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Boston Bruins
Apr 6, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Apr 4, 2023 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Apr 2, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
Lightning
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 22, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 20, 2023 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 18, 2023 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Detroit Red Wings
Apr 13, 2023 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 11, 2023 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Ottawa Senators
Apr 8, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
@ New York Islanders
Apr 6, 2023 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
@ New York Rangers
Apr 5, 2023 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs New York Islanders
Apr 1, 2023 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
vs Washington Capitals
Mar 30, 2023 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1