Final Score: Lightning 3 - Stars 2
Thursday, March 20, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Stars
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 30 | 32 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 4 |
| Stat | Lightning | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 67 | 67 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 64% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 45% | 76% |
Recent Results
Lightning
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 17, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Boston Bruins
Mar 15, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 11, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Boston Bruins
Mar 8, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Buffalo Sabres
Mar 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 4, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Florida Panthers
Mar 3, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Washington Capitals
Mar 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Calgary Flames
Feb 27, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
Stars
vs Anaheim Ducks
Mar 18, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Colorado Avalanche
Mar 16, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Winnipeg Jets
Mar 14, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 9, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Edmonton Oilers
Mar 8, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Calgary Flames
Mar 6, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs New Jersey Devils
Mar 4, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs St. Louis Blues
Mar 2, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Feb 28, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Feb 25, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 10
4-6