Final Score: Canadiens 6 - Senators 5
Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Canadiens @ Senators
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Canadiens | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 90 | 89 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 5 |
| Stat | Canadiens | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 48 | 46 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 54% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 54% | 48% |
Recent Results
Canadiens
@ Buffalo Sabres
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Washington Capitals
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Vancouver Canucks
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
vs Florida Panthers
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Calgary Flames
Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Dallas Stars
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ St. Louis Blues
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Senators
@ New York Rangers
Jan 14, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Vancouver Canucks
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Florida Panthers
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Colorado Avalanche
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 10
2-8
@ Utah Mammoth
Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Washington Capitals
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 12
5-7