Final Score: Senators 3 - Red Wings 4
Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET

Senators @ Red Wings

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Senators
22-25 Rating 1495
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Detroit Red Wings +0.7
Red Wings
29-20 Rating 1524
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Senators Red Wings
All-time wins 33 36
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 2.8 2.9
Last meeting 3 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Senators Red Wings
Games played 47 49
Avg goals scored 3.3 3.1
Avg goals conceded 3.4 3.1
Win percentage 47% 59%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 65%