Final Score: Capitals 2 - Canadiens 6
Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Capitals @ Canadiens
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Capitals | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 91 | 89 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 2 |
| Stat | Capitals | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 61 | 58 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 51% | 55% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 41% | 55% |
Recent Results
Capitals
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Nashville Predators
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs New York Islanders
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Detroit Red Wings
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Seattle Kraken
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Edmonton Oilers
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Calgary Flames
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
Canadiens
vs New York Islanders
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Winnipeg Jets
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Minnesota Wild
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Buffalo Sabres
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Boston Bruins
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Buffalo Sabres
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Minnesota Wild
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Ottawa Senators
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5