Final Score: Sabres 5 - Penguins 1
Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Sabres @ Penguins
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Sabres | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 80 | 111 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average goals | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 5 |
| Stat | Sabres | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 61 | 60 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.0 | 2.9 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 50% |
Recent Results
Sabres
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New Jersey Devils
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Los Angeles Kings
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
Penguins
@ Boston Bruins
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ New York Rangers
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs New Jersey Devils
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Buffalo Sabres
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ New York Islanders
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs New York Rangers
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Vancouver Canucks
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2