Final Score: Sabres 6 - Lightning 2
Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Sabres @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Sabres | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 62 | 54 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Sabres | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 59 | 57 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.0 | 2.6 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 67% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 55% | 68% |
Recent Results
Sabres
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New Jersey Devils
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Los Angeles Kings
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
@ New York Islanders
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Montreal Canadiens
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Lightning
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Florida Panthers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Boston Bruins
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Utah Mammoth
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1