Final Score: Bruins 5 - Lightning 6
Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET
Bruins @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Bruins | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 80 | 52 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Bruins | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 55 | 52 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 65% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 44% | 62% |
Recent Results
Bruins
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Nashville Predators
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New York Rangers
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Montreal Canadiens
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Dallas Stars
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Seattle Kraken
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
Lightning
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Utah Mammoth
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Dallas Stars
Jan 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ St. Louis Blues
Jan 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2