Final Score: Lightning 2 - Penguins 1
Tuesday, January 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Penguins
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 55 | 65 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 3.2 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Lightning | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 44 | 44 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.6 | 3.1 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 48% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 70% | 45% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ San Jose Sharks
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Los Angeles Kings
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Anaheim Ducks
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs St. Louis Blues
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
Penguins
@ Boston Bruins
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
vs Calgary Flames
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs New Jersey Devils
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Detroit Red Wings
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 30, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 21, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3