Final Score: Lightning 5 - Kings 3
Thursday, January 1, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Kings

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
23-16 Rating 1542
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Los Angeles Kings +0.1
Kings
16-22 Rating 1498
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Kings
All-time wins 31 17
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.9 2.2
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Kings
Games played 39 38
Avg goals scored 3.3 2.6
Avg goals conceded 2.7 2.7
Win percentage 59% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 63% 29%