Final Score: Lightning 2 - Islanders 3
Saturday, December 13, 2025 at 3:30 PM ET
Lightning @ Islanders
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 76 | 61 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| Last meeting | 0 | 2 |
| Stat | Lightning | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 31 | 32 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 3.0 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 53% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ New Jersey Devils
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
@ Montreal Canadiens
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs New York Islanders
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Islanders
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ New York Rangers
Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Detroit Red Wings
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Calgary Flames
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 24, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
Islanders
vs Anaheim Ducks
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Colorado Avalanche
Dec 4, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 2, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Washington Capitals
Nov 30, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Boston Bruins
Nov 26, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Seattle Kraken
Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0