Final Score: Lightning 7 - Sharks 3
Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Sharks
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 28 | 22 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 2 |
| Stat | Lightning | Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 40 | 40 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 3.5 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 65% | 52% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Los Angeles Kings
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Anaheim Ducks
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs St. Louis Blues
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Los Angeles Kings
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Florida Panthers
Dec 15, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ New York Islanders
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ New Jersey Devils
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
Sharks
vs Minnesota Wild
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Anaheim Ducks
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Vancouver Canucks
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Seattle Kraken
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Dallas Stars
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
vs Calgary Flames
Dec 16, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 11, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Dec 9, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4