Final Score: Blues 1 - Lightning 4
Monday, December 22, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Blues @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blues
14-23 Rating 1486
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.8
Lightning
19-16 Rating 1527
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blues Lightning
All-time wins 31 19
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.2 2.7
Last meeting 1 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Blues Lightning
Games played 37 35
Avg goals scored 2.5 3.2
Avg goals conceded 3.4 2.7
Win percentage 38% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 41% 50%