Final Score: Lightning 4 - Panthers 2
Saturday, December 27, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Panthers

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
20-16 Rating 1530
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: Florida Panthers +0.7
Panthers
20-16 Rating 1561
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Panthers
All-time wins 83 90
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.9 3.1
Last meeting 2 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Panthers
Games played 36 36
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.2
Avg goals conceded 2.6 3.2
Win percentage 56% 56%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 57%