Final Score: Lightning 2 - Blues 3
Friday, January 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Blues
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Blues |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 20 | 31 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 1 |
| Stat | Lightning | Blues |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 45 | 47 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 2.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.6 | 3.4 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 38% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 71% | 44% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ San Jose Sharks
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Los Angeles Kings
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Anaheim Ducks
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs St. Louis Blues
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
Blues
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Utah Mammoth
Jan 9, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs Montreal Canadiens
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Colorado Avalanche
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Buffalo Sabres
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Nashville Predators
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4