Final Score: Lightning 5 - Flyers 1
Monday, January 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Flyers
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 63 | 59 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 7 | 2 |
| Stat | Lightning | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 43 | 43 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 63% | 51% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 68% | 52% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ San Jose Sharks
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Los Angeles Kings
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Anaheim Ducks
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Florida Panthers
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs St. Louis Blues
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Los Angeles Kings
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
Flyers
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 9
2-7
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Anaheim Ducks
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Edmonton Oilers
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Calgary Flames
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Vancouver Canucks
Dec 30, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Seattle Kraken
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Vancouver Canucks
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ New York Rangers
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5