Final Score: Lightning 2 - Blackhawks 1
Friday, January 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Blackhawks
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 38 | 26 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Lightning | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 48 | 50 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.5 | 2.8 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.5 | 3.1 |
| Win percentage | 65% | 42% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 69% | 41% |
Recent Results
Lightning
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Dallas Stars
Jan 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ St. Louis Blues
Jan 16, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 9
7-2
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ San Jose Sharks
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Los Angeles Kings
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Anaheim Ducks
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Blackhawks
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Boston Bruins
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Calgary Flames
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Edmonton Oilers
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Nashville Predators
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
vs Washington Capitals
Jan 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs St. Louis Blues
Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Washington Capitals
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2