Final Score: Lightning 1 - Wild 5
Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET
Lightning @ Wild
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Wild |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 13 | 22 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 5 |
| Stat | Lightning | Wild |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 58 | 61 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Win percentage | 66% | 57% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 66% | 55% |
Recent Results
Lightning
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Florida Panthers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Boston Bruins
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Utah Mammoth
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
Wild
vs St. Louis Blues
Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Utah Mammoth
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Colorado Avalanche
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Nashville Predators
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Montreal Canadiens
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Edmonton Oilers
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
vs Calgary Flames
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Florida Panthers
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3