Final Score: Lightning 4 - Hurricanes 5
Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Hurricanes
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 78 | 65 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| Last meeting | 6 | 4 |
| Stat | Lightning | Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 56 | 57 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| Win percentage | 68% | 63% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 68% | 68% |
Recent Results
Lightning
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Florida Panthers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Boston Bruins
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Utah Mammoth
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Dallas Stars
Jan 18, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
Hurricanes
@ New York Rangers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Los Angeles Kings
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Washington Capitals
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Utah Mammoth
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Ottawa Senators
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Buffalo Sabres
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ New Jersey Devils
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Florida Panthers
Jan 16, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 10
9-1