Final Score: Lightning 1 - Jets 4
Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Jets
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 54 | 51 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.3 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 1 |
| Stat | Lightning | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 59 | 60 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 40% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 63% | 45% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Minnesota Wild
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Florida Panthers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Boston Bruins
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Utah Mammoth
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2-0
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 13
5-8
Jets
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ San Jose Sharks
Mar 1, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Anaheim Ducks
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Vancouver Canucks
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Montreal Canadiens
Feb 4, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Dallas Stars
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Florida Panthers
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ New Jersey Devils
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5