Final Score: Capitals 1 - Flyers 4
Wednesday, March 11, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Capitals @ Flyers
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Capitals | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 120 | 139 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 1 |
| Stat | Capitals | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 65 | 63 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.0 | 3.2 |
| Win percentage | 49% | 46% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 39% | 44% |
Recent Results
Capitals
vs Calgary Flames
Mar 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Boston Bruins
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Utah Mammoth
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Montreal Canadiens
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Nashville Predators
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs New York Islanders
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
Flyers
vs New York Rangers
Mar 9, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Utah Mammoth
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Boston Bruins
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ New York Rangers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Washington Capitals
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Washington Capitals
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Los Angeles Kings
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3