Final Score: Capitals 2 - Sabres 1
Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Capitals @ Sabres
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Capitals | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 74 | 101 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average goals | 2.8 | 3.4 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 4 |
| Stat | Capitals | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 66 | 65 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 62% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 66% |
Recent Results
Capitals
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Calgary Flames
Mar 9, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Boston Bruins
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Utah Mammoth
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Montreal Canadiens
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Nashville Predators
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs New York Islanders
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
Sabres
vs San Jose Sharks
Mar 10, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 8, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 15
8-7
vs Nashville Predators
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New Jersey Devils
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4