Final Score: Lightning 7 - Sabres 8
Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Sabres
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 54 | 63 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 3.0 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 6 |
| Stat | Lightning | Sabres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 61 | 63 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.7 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 60% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 62% | 63% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Winnipeg Jets
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Minnesota Wild
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Florida Panthers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
vs Buffalo Sabres
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Boston Bruins
Feb 1, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Winnipeg Jets
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
Sabres
vs Nashville Predators
Mar 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 5, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Mar 3, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 27, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New Jersey Devils
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4