Final Score: Penguins 7 - Avalanche 2
Monday, March 16, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET

Penguins @ Avalanche

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Penguins
33-33 Rating 1484
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
33%
67%
Projected margin: Colorado Avalanche +1.5
Avalanche
44-21 Rating 1581
Form: WWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Avalanche
All-time wins 44 47
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 3.6 3.8
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Avalanche
Games played 66 65
Avg goals scored 3.4 3.8
Avg goals conceded 3.1 2.5
Win percentage 50% 68%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 72%