Final Score: Capitals 4 - Maple Leafs 0
Wednesday, April 8, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Capitals @ Maple Leafs

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Capitals
39-39 Rating 1509
Form: WWLWL
Model Probability
51%
49%
Projected margin: Toronto Maple Leafs +0.2
Maple Leafs
32-45 Rating 1485
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Capitals Maple Leafs
All-time wins 85 74
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average goals 3.4 3.3
Last meeting 4 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Capitals Maple Leafs
Games played 78 77
Avg goals scored 3.2 3.1
Avg goals conceded 3.1 3.6
Win percentage 50% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 47%