Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Wild 2
Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Maple Leafs @ Wild

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Maple Leafs
28-39 Rating 1491
Form: LLLWL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Minnesota Wild +0.8
Wild
38-29 Rating 1530
Form: WLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Maple Leafs Wild
All-time wins 17 16
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average goals 2.7 2.5
Last meeting 3 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Maple Leafs Wild
Games played 67 67
Avg goals scored 3.1 3.3
Avg goals conceded 3.5 2.9
Win percentage 42% 57%
Away win % / Home win % 34% 54%