Final Score: Maple Leafs 2 - Rangers 6
Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Rangers
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 88 | 112 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average goals | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 1 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 62 | 60 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.5 | 3.2 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 38% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 25% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ New Jersey Devils
Mar 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Ottawa Senators
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
@ Florida Panthers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Edmonton Oilers
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Calgary Flames
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Vancouver Canucks
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Buffalo Sabres
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
Rangers
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 2, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 28, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 2
0-2
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
vs New York Islanders
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ New York Islanders
Jan 28, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Boston Bruins
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ San Jose Sharks
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
@ Los Angeles Kings
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4