Final Score: Maple Leafs 4 - Flames 2
Monday, February 2, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Flames
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 77 | 69 |
| Last 5 meetings | 5 | 0 |
| Average goals | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 3 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 55 | 54 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.5 | 3.0 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 52% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ Vancouver Canucks
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Buffalo Sabres
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Minnesota Wild
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Winnipeg Jets
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Utah Mammoth
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
Flames
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Minnesota Wild
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Anaheim Ducks
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Washington Capitals
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs New Jersey Devils
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs New York Islanders
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Chicago Blackhawks
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Columbus Blue Jackets
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 8
3-5
@ Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1