Final Score: Maple Leafs 5 - Oilers 2
Tuesday, February 3, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Oilers
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 64 | 50 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 3.7 | 3.7 |
| Last meeting | 3 | 6 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Oilers |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 56 | 56 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.4 | 3.3 |
| Win percentage | 46% | 50% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 40% | 54% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
@ Calgary Flames
Feb 2, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Vancouver Canucks
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Buffalo Sabres
Jan 27, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 11
4-7
vs Colorado Avalanche
Jan 25, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 23, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Detroit Red Wings
Jan 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs Minnesota Wild
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Winnipeg Jets
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
Oilers
vs Minnesota Wild
Jan 31, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
vs San Jose Sharks
Jan 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs Anaheim Ducks
Jan 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 11
7-4
vs Washington Capitals
Jan 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 22, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
vs New Jersey Devils
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
vs St. Louis Blues
Jan 18, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5-0
@ Vancouver Canucks
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
vs New York Islanders
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0-1
@ Nashville Predators
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4