Final Score: Maple Leafs 3 - Islanders 5
Thursday, April 9, 2026 at 6:45 PM ET
Maple Leafs @ Islanders
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 88 | 95 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| Last meeting | 1 | 3 |
| Stat | Maple Leafs | Islanders |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 78 | 78 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.1 | 2.9 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| Win percentage | 41% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 36% | 57% |
Recent Results
Maple Leafs
vs Washington Capitals
Apr 8, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0-4
@ Los Angeles Kings
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ San Jose Sharks
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Anaheim Ducks
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ St. Louis Blues
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 6
1-5
vs New York Rangers
Mar 25, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Boston Bruins
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
@ Ottawa Senators
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 20, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs New York Islanders
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
Islanders
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Philadelphia Flyers
Apr 3, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
@ Buffalo Sabres
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 30, 2026 · Margin: -5 · Total: 11
3-8
vs Florida Panthers
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs Dallas Stars
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Chicago Blackhawks
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
@ Montreal Canadiens
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 10
3-7
@ Ottawa Senators
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3