Final Score: Lightning 3 - Canadiens 2
Sunday, April 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Canadiens
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 76 | 63 |
| Last 5 meetings | 1 | 4 |
| Average goals | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Last meeting | 2 | 3 |
| Stat | Lightning | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 85 | 85 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| Win percentage | 60% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 57% | 60% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Montreal Canadiens
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Montreal Canadiens
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs New York Rangers
Apr 15, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Detroit Red Wings
Apr 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Boston Bruins
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
@ Montreal Canadiens
Apr 9, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1-2
@ Ottawa Senators
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 8
2-6
@ Buffalo Sabres
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Boston Bruins
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
Canadiens
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 21, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Philadelphia Flyers
Apr 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ New York Islanders
Apr 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Apr 11, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2-5
vs Tampa Bay Lightning
Apr 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Florida Panthers
Apr 7, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
vs New Jersey Devils
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 3
0-3
@ New Jersey Devils
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3