Final Score: Lightning 2 - Senators 6
Tuesday, April 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Lightning @ Senators
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lightning | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 54 | 71 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average goals | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 2 |
| Stat | Lightning | Senators |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 77 | 77 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| Win percentage | 62% | 52% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 61% | 53% |
Recent Results
Lightning
@ Buffalo Sabres
Apr 6, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Boston Bruins
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Montreal Canadiens
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Nashville Predators
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Ottawa Senators
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Seattle Kraken
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Minnesota Wild
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Calgary Flames
Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Edmonton Oilers
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
Senators
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Apr 5, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
vs Minnesota Wild
Apr 4, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 5
1-4
vs Buffalo Sabres
Apr 2, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
@ Florida Panthers
Mar 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Detroit Red Wings
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ New York Rangers
Mar 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs New York Islanders
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2