Final Score: Penguins 4 - Senators 3
Thursday, March 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Penguins @ Senators

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Penguins
35-36 Rating 1484
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
41%
59%
Projected margin: Ottawa Senators +0.8
Senators
38-33 Rating 1527
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Penguins Senators
All-time wins 79 58
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.3 2.8
Last meeting 2 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Penguins Senators
Games played 71 71
Avg goals scored 3.4 3.4
Avg goals conceded 3.2 3.0
Win percentage 49% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 51% 53%