Final Score: Canadiens 4 - Lightning 1
Tuesday, March 31, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET
Canadiens @ Lightning
NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Canadiens | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 59 | 75 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average goals | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| Last meeting | 4 | 5 |
| Stat | Canadiens | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 73 | 73 |
| Avg goals scored | 3.5 | 3.7 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 63% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 64% |
Recent Results
Canadiens
@ Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
@ Nashville Predators
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1
vs Columbus Blue Jackets
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
vs New York Islanders
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 10
7-3
@ Detroit Red Wings
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs Boston Bruins
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Anaheim Ducks
Mar 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs San Jose Sharks
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
@ Ottawa Senators
Mar 11, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
Lightning
vs Nashville Predators
Mar 29, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
vs Ottawa Senators
Mar 28, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
vs Seattle Kraken
Mar 26, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
vs Minnesota Wild
Mar 24, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 9
6-3
@ Calgary Flames
Mar 22, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Edmonton Oilers
Mar 21, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 7
5-2
@ Vancouver Canucks
Mar 19, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
@ Seattle Kraken
Mar 17, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 8
6-2
vs Carolina Hurricanes
Mar 14, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4
vs Detroit Red Wings
Mar 12, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4-1