Final Score: Lightning 6 - Canucks 2
Thursday, March 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Lightning @ Canucks

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Lightning
41-25 Rating 1560
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
68%
32%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +0.7
Canucks
21-46 Rating 1421
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Lightning Canucks
All-time wins 22 22
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average goals 3.1 3.4
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Lightning Canucks
Games played 66 67
Avg goals scored 3.6 2.6
Avg goals conceded 2.8 3.7
Win percentage 62% 31%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 24%